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Affirm targets $64B in volume after its most profitable quarter

Affirm closed fiscal 2026 with $14.1 billion in quarterly volume and a 30% adjusted operating margin, and guided to more than $64 billion for fiscal 2027. The Affirm Card and more frequent use drive most of its lead over other BNPL lenders.

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Affirm reported the most profitable quarter in its history on August 27, 2026, closing its fiscal year with gross merchandise volume (GMV) growth above 30% for the 11th straight quarter. The US buy now, pay later (BNPL) lender’s fiscal fourth quarter ended June 30. For fiscal 2027, it expects more than $64 billion in GMV.

Revenue rose 33% to $1.17 billion, ahead of the $1.11 billion consensus. GMV, the industry’s benchmark metric, grew 36% to $14.1 billion, against expectations of $13.39 billion.

$14.1B
quarterly GMV, up 36%
Affirm, Q4 fiscal 2026
$1.17B
quarterly revenue, up 33%
Affirm, Q4 fiscal 2026
30%
adjusted operating margin
Affirm, Q4 fiscal 2026
27.8M
active consumers, up 21%
Affirm, Q4 fiscal 2026

Adjusted and GAAP margins tell different stories

Adjusted operating income came to $353 million, or 30% of revenue. GAAP operating income was $147 million, a 12.6% margin, up 6 percentage points from a year earlier. The gap between the two measures comes mainly from stock-based compensation, which the adjusted figure excludes.

Reported earnings per share of $4.62, against an expected $0.85, say little about operating performance. They include the release of a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets, a one-time item. Management said the quarter would still have been the company’s most profitable without it.

MetricQ4 fiscal 2026Fiscal 2026
GMV$14.1B$50.2B
Revenue$1.17B$4.26B
Adjusted operating margin30%not reported for the full year
Prior-year GMV-$36.7B
Quarter and full year, fiscal year ended June 30, 2026. Source: Affirm, August 27, 2026.
Dashboard of performance metrics
How often customers use Affirm, not how many customers it has, drives most of its volume growth.

The Affirm Card drives more frequent use

Volume is growing more from heavier use than from new customers. Active consumers rose 21% to 27.8 million, while transactions per active consumer rose 20% to 7.0. The two effects compound, so volume grows faster than either one on its own.

The main driver is the Affirm Card, a Visa debit card that lets users convert a purchase into installments after the fact. It has 5.2 million active consumers, up 125%. Management cited an attach rate of 19% of active accounts and said cardholders spend about twice as much as the typical Affirm customer.

🔑
A card changes the BNPL model
A conventional BNPL lender only shows up at the checkout of a partner merchant, so its merchant network caps how often it gets used. A card on a global network lifts that cap. The lender becomes an everyday payment method, available wherever the card is accepted, and the financing decision comes after the purchase rather than during it.

Credit quality improves, with caveats

The 30-day delinquency rate on monthly installment loans, excluding Peloton and Pay in X products, was 2.5%, down from a range of 2.7% to 2.8% in the previous three quarters. Management said it sees no signs of stress in its delinquency data.

The metric’s own definition flags its limits. It leaves out part of the portfolio, and fast loan growth mechanically flatters the ratio: a book that grows quickly holds a large share of loans too new to be past due.

  • The metric excludes Pay in X products, the short-term, interest-free installment plans, whose risk profile differs from amortizing loans.
  • The dilution effect from growth holds only as long as volume keeps growing more than 30% a quarter.
  • Funding costs, not delinquency rates alone, determine net margin on a short-term credit portfolio.

Affirm guides to margin above 30.5% for fiscal 2027

For the first quarter of fiscal 2027, Affirm expects revenue of $1.19 billion to $1.22 billion and GMV of $13.7 billion to $14.0 billion. For the full year, it targets GMV above $64 billion and an adjusted operating margin above 30.5%. It expects revenue less transaction costs of 4.16% of GMV, above the 3.25% to 4% range it presents as its medium-term target.

ℹ️
Affirm and Klarna take different routes to margin
Klarna reported for its second quarter of 2026 a transaction margin growing twice as fast as its volume. Both companies are making the same case, that BNPL can earn a lasting margin, but by different routes: the card and usage frequency at Affirm, cost structure and product mix at Klarna.

The quarterly numbers leave one question open. Topping $64 billion in volume means sustaining high double-digit growth for another 12 months, while rules for short-term consumer credit tighten on both sides of the Atlantic.

Provenance

Published August 29, 2026

4 sources, 3 distinct domains

↗ Yahoo Finance, “Affirm Q4 2026 earnings beat: revenue and GMV top estimates,” August 27, 2026 · finance.yahoo.com↗ Investing.com, “Earnings call transcript: Affirm tops Q4 2026 estimates as profit jumps,” August 27, 2026 · investing.com↗ Affirm Holdings, investor relations (quarterly results) · investors.affirm.com↗ Investing.com, “Affirm Q3 2026 slides: 35% GMV growth, GAAP profitability achieved” · investing.com
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